Fantasy managers who look beyond the obvious names can find players whose value could surge when a teammate gets hurt, traded or stops getting minutes. Think of Jeremy Lin in the 2011-2012 season, when New York Knicks coach Mike D’Antoni turned to a combo guard averaging 3.6 points in 6.1 minutes to save a season that had seen the team lose 11 of 13 games. Lin’s rise, and the fantasy frenzy that followed, shows how fragile rosters and thin depth charts can produce magical fantasy basketball outcomes.
Ryan Rollins was, albeit with far less hype, last season’s Lin. The Milwaukee Bucks entered last season without trusted scoring or shot creation past Giannis Antetokounmpo. Rollins, a player undrafted in most leagues, ended up No. 30 overall on the Player Rater. The context of his team’s roster invited that leap.
This piece considers which players around the league might have a far higher ceiling than the market currently appreciates. Sometimes a player is only a trade, injury or promotion away from an enduring and rewarding role. A single Shams Charania post can change multiple depth charts in an instant. These are the contingency tier of talents, those who need some blend of luck, development, timing and trust to pop. Which widely available players, sitting in free agency or found in the late rounds of drafts ahead of the 2026-27 season, could become the statistical forces that Lin, Rollins and others have been in seasons past?
Ajay Mitchell and Aday Mara, Oklahoma City Thunder
The Thunder have waves of capable backups across the roster, which makes it tougher to isolate who benefits if a star misses time. Mitchell, however, already offers proof of concept. Across just over 100 playoff minutes with Shai Gilgeous-Alexander off the court last spring, Mitchell produced 26.5 points and 7.8 assists per 75 possessions. He will likely sustain independent value even behind a healthy cast of stars, yet he is also an injury update away from becoming a true force. Mitchell would probably inherit a major role if either Gilgeous-Alexander or Jalen Williams were sidelined.
Mara, a rookie with some remarkable preseason production and tape, has enough rim protection and paint scoring potential to surface if either Isaiah Hartenstein or Chet Holmgren misses time. Rim protection is one of the most transferable skills from college to the NBA. I’d rather be early than late to a block party.
Ayo Dosunmu, Minnesota Timberwolves
LaMelo Ball has averaged just over 50 regular-season games across his six-year career. He required a career-low 28 minutes per game last season as part of a deliberate maintenance routine.
Dosunmu, meanwhile, made NBA playoff history with his 43-point performance against Denver this past April, the second-highest-scoring game ever by a playoff reserve. Dosunmu has thrived when given the power to create in both Chicago and Minnesota. Now he is in a high-stakes situation with a long-term contract, playing behind one of the least durable lead guards in the league. He checks many of the Lin-like boxes.
Anthony Black, Orlando Magic
With both Paolo Banchero and Franz Wagner off the floor last season, Black posted 23 points, five rebounds, four assists and two steals per 36 minutes for the Magic. Over the last winter and spring, Black shifted from a player without a clear identity into an aggressive, downhill driver with a newfound ability to finish or find teammates. The question is whether Black can produce at a fantasy-relevant clip while the team’s two foundational forwards stay healthy.
Black was the sixth pick in his draft class and is only scratching his potential. He may need little beyond the trust of his new coach to take off. Don’t forget him when you’re looking for a high-ceiling guard at the end of your drafts.
Ace Bailey, Utah Jazz
Last season’s rookie class was so spectacular that Bailey’s brilliant spring was largely lost amid a lottery-bound effort from Utah. The rangy forward averaged 19.6 points, 4.5 rebounds and 2.4 assists in 14 games last March, shooting 45.3% from the field and 40.3% from three. That included a 37-point game against a Toronto Raptors side that was among the better defensive groups in the league. Bailey should see extended opportunities to score off the bench and may even contend for major minutes in smaller closing lineups.
The Jazz’s pair of star forwards, Lauri Markkanen and Jaren Jackson Jr., have each faced significant durability concerns over the past few seasons. Whether by promotion, injury or some mix of both, Bailey’s path to scoring stardom is not as winding as it might seem.
Collin Sexton, Los Angeles Lakers
The Lakers’ roster is top-heavy and leans heavily on Luka Doncic and Austin Reaves as offensive engines, so it’s easy to forget that Sexton, still just 27, has become an efficient, if nearly elite, scoring guard. He has bounced around the league because of a lack of size and defensive utility. Yet over the past three seasons he has produced nearly 24 points and five dimes per 36 minutes on Durant-like shooting splits.
Even if the Lakers’ star playmakers stay healthy, Sexton is positioned as a viable Sixth Man of the Year candidate, a microwave scorer off the bench for a team without much scoring or playmaking depth. If he is ever given the keys to the offence in place of one of the team’s star creators, even for a few weeks, Sexton would thrive.
Isaiah Stewart, Memphis Grizzlies
You’ll find Zach Edey on many of my fantasy rosters. Thankfully, you’ll also find “Beef Stew”. The Grizzlies are leaning into a tougher, larger identity, and Stewart embodies that direction. In just under 23 minutes per game for the Detroit Pistons last season, Stewart posted 1.6 blocks per game, good for eighth in the entire NBA.
Stewart proved capable of fantasy relevance even as a secondary big behind an All-NBA centre in Detroit. Edey, for all his gifts, has yet to prove he can endure the NBA grind for even a few months at a time. Stewart is an injury update away from becoming a double-double force with difference-making defensive numbers. Sign me up.